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	<title>Comments on: DCF analysis of student loans</title>
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	<description>Becoming debt-free is the first step to building a better world. Financial independence is the second. Doing what YOU want is the third.</description>
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		<title>By: Interesting Question</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20842</link>
		<dc:creator>Interesting Question</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Feb 2011 00:03:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20842</guid>
		<description>I just read an interview with Peter Thiel (Paypal founder, and investor in Facebook, and other tech successes).  Recognized, and profited from shorting the housing bubble.

He talks about his belief that we are in a &quot;higher education bubble&quot;, and his thoughts are very interesting.  I think there is a lot of truth to it.   

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/print/257531

On a side note, it mentions he&#039;s funding the &quot;Thiel Fellowship&quot; which will select 20 college students and pay them $100,000 each to drop out and embark on entrepreneurial careers.  So, if there are any &quot;young Jacobs&quot; here (under 20), it might be worth checking out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just read an interview with Peter Thiel (Paypal founder, and investor in Facebook, and other tech successes).  Recognized, and profited from shorting the housing bubble.</p>
<p>He talks about his belief that we are in a &#8220;higher education bubble&#8221;, and his thoughts are very interesting.  I think there is a lot of truth to it.   </p>
<p><a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/print/257531" rel="nofollow">http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/print/257531</a></p>
<p>On a side note, it mentions he&#8217;s funding the &#8220;Thiel Fellowship&#8221; which will select 20 college students and pay them $100,000 each to drop out and embark on entrepreneurial careers.  So, if there are any &#8220;young Jacobs&#8221; here (under 20), it might be worth checking out.</p>
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		<title>By: Cassie</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20837</link>
		<dc:creator>Cassie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 17:15:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20837</guid>
		<description>If Parents would require this type of analysis of their high school children maybe we would graduate fewer Women’s Studies major’s with $200K loan balances. I am very pro education and firmly believe that additional schooling has many worthwhile life long benefits that may not easily translate into higher earnings.
 
However, the minute you start borrowing money to go to school you would be foolish not to treat this as an investment. Potential borrowers should carefully research what jobs might be available to them with their desired degree and what salaries are being paid. 

One must remember to factor in the interest expense and the risk (remember student loans are almost impossible to have forgiven) before determining if the possible reward justifies the investment. 

It is a shame that many families spend much more time and effort researching their automobile purchase then the purchase of the much more expensive and permanent education of their children. Thanks for addressing this important issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Parents would require this type of analysis of their high school children maybe we would graduate fewer Women’s Studies major’s with $200K loan balances. I am very pro education and firmly believe that additional schooling has many worthwhile life long benefits that may not easily translate into higher earnings.</p>
<p>However, the minute you start borrowing money to go to school you would be foolish not to treat this as an investment. Potential borrowers should carefully research what jobs might be available to them with their desired degree and what salaries are being paid. </p>
<p>One must remember to factor in the interest expense and the risk (remember student loans are almost impossible to have forgiven) before determining if the possible reward justifies the investment. </p>
<p>It is a shame that many families spend much more time and effort researching their automobile purchase then the purchase of the much more expensive and permanent education of their children. Thanks for addressing this important issue.</p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20829</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 04:26:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20829</guid>
		<description>I am a medical student, and in May of this year I will graduate with ~ 250,000 worth of loans.  Am I screwed?  I should manage a salary of ~200,000-300,000 a year after 5 years of residency.  Was it worth it?  Not sure.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am a medical student, and in May of this year I will graduate with ~ 250,000 worth of loans.  Am I screwed?  I should manage a salary of ~200,000-300,000 a year after 5 years of residency.  Was it worth it?  Not sure.</p>
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		<title>By: joe</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20826</link>
		<dc:creator>joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 20:47:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20826</guid>
		<description>Here is my experience with education.  

A while back, my wife decided to go back to school.  She was making $40K, and after three (more) years of school we estimated she would make $60K.  I did the math and came to the conclusion it would take around 22 years to break even from where she would have been without the degree (and I hope to be retired long before that).  But she said it would make her happier, so even with my concerns she went ahead and did it.

Present day.  She has graduated, and in the process of getting her degree she found new opportunities in her new area of expertise, resulting in getting paid much more than the $60K budgeted.  So she now has more choices in employment, she is enjoying her work, and we will reach the break-even point 4 years after her graduation.  

So for us it has paid off, but we took on substantial financial risks, and there was some luck involved.  Like investing in the stock market, investing in your education is far from a sure thing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is my experience with education.  </p>
<p>A while back, my wife decided to go back to school.  She was making $40K, and after three (more) years of school we estimated she would make $60K.  I did the math and came to the conclusion it would take around 22 years to break even from where she would have been without the degree (and I hope to be retired long before that).  But she said it would make her happier, so even with my concerns she went ahead and did it.</p>
<p>Present day.  She has graduated, and in the process of getting her degree she found new opportunities in her new area of expertise, resulting in getting paid much more than the $60K budgeted.  So she now has more choices in employment, she is enjoying her work, and we will reach the break-even point 4 years after her graduation.  </p>
<p>So for us it has paid off, but we took on substantial financial risks, and there was some luck involved.  Like investing in the stock market, investing in your education is far from a sure thing.</p>
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		<title>By: Piper</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20820</link>
		<dc:creator>Piper</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 18:11:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20820</guid>
		<description>Here&#039;s my anecdotal perspective. I did not get a bachelors degree until I was 30. Before then I tried to get by without it. My options were very limited. My degree in a totally useless field truly did open a lot of doors to me. 

However, the bachelors degree was not quite enough for me. But rather than go for a masters, I have returned to community college where they actually teach me practical, applicable skills. I have met a lot of students there with degrees or currently attending the university who say things like &quot;I just had to take some courses here because my university education is all theory and I&#039;m not learning how to do anything.&quot; Or &quot;I need to learn some hands-on skills so I can go get a masters in my field.&quot;

So I now recommend to people to go to community college first and see if that opens enough doors to get the ball rolling.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s my anecdotal perspective. I did not get a bachelors degree until I was 30. Before then I tried to get by without it. My options were very limited. My degree in a totally useless field truly did open a lot of doors to me. </p>
<p>However, the bachelors degree was not quite enough for me. But rather than go for a masters, I have returned to community college where they actually teach me practical, applicable skills. I have met a lot of students there with degrees or currently attending the university who say things like &#8220;I just had to take some courses here because my university education is all theory and I&#8217;m not learning how to do anything.&#8221; Or &#8220;I need to learn some hands-on skills so I can go get a masters in my field.&#8221;</p>
<p>So I now recommend to people to go to community college first and see if that opens enough doors to get the ball rolling.</p>
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		<title>By: Squirrelers</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20819</link>
		<dc:creator>Squirrelers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 17:43:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20819</guid>
		<description>Students absolutely must take a Discounted Cash Flow approach to viewing college as an investment. The only thing is, I&#039;ll bet very few at all ever do that and they&#039;re not getting such help from parents.

Statistics prove that an undergrad degree, and a masters degree at an even higher level, can provide lifetime earnings that greatly exceed that of someone with no undergrad degree. That part is common sense, and doesn&#039;t need to be debated.

However, it&#039;s the cost that&#039;s involved that can make some alternatives really good investments and others really poor alternatives. It should not be assumed that one should expect to go into debt to get a degree. 

For example: one school may be private and cost $200,000 over 4 years, and another may be public and a commuter campus costing $50,000 over the same time period. Is it automatic that the more expensive private school will offer greater salaries and lifetime income than the public commuter school? One must weight the costs/benefits and discount the cash flows over a lifetime of projected earnings (though admittedly that&#039;s hard to do). In that case, I would guess that an Ivy League education, for example, would provide a far greater NPV on investment than the public commuter school. However, if the private institution is not an elite school, then it might be a far worse investment than the public school.

Bottom line is that to some degree (not entirely, but to a large degree), a college education or advanced degree is an investment, and should be evaluated as such when compared to alternatives. Using a DCF analysis to come up with an NPV of the investments is a great idea, at least to ballpark the figures.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Students absolutely must take a Discounted Cash Flow approach to viewing college as an investment. The only thing is, I&#8217;ll bet very few at all ever do that and they&#8217;re not getting such help from parents.</p>
<p>Statistics prove that an undergrad degree, and a masters degree at an even higher level, can provide lifetime earnings that greatly exceed that of someone with no undergrad degree. That part is common sense, and doesn&#8217;t need to be debated.</p>
<p>However, it&#8217;s the cost that&#8217;s involved that can make some alternatives really good investments and others really poor alternatives. It should not be assumed that one should expect to go into debt to get a degree. </p>
<p>For example: one school may be private and cost $200,000 over 4 years, and another may be public and a commuter campus costing $50,000 over the same time period. Is it automatic that the more expensive private school will offer greater salaries and lifetime income than the public commuter school? One must weight the costs/benefits and discount the cash flows over a lifetime of projected earnings (though admittedly that&#8217;s hard to do). In that case, I would guess that an Ivy League education, for example, would provide a far greater NPV on investment than the public commuter school. However, if the private institution is not an elite school, then it might be a far worse investment than the public school.</p>
<p>Bottom line is that to some degree (not entirely, but to a large degree), a college education or advanced degree is an investment, and should be evaluated as such when compared to alternatives. Using a DCF analysis to come up with an NPV of the investments is a great idea, at least to ballpark the figures.</p>
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		<title>By: Chiro3</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20818</link>
		<dc:creator>Chiro3</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 17:14:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20818</guid>
		<description>I was hoping to get an opinion on paying down student loan debt vs investing.  I currently have around $90k in student loan debt which is consolidated at 2%.  With the tax deduction, I have to think I&#039;m better off putting my extra income into dividend stocks.  Any help?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was hoping to get an opinion on paying down student loan debt vs investing.  I currently have around $90k in student loan debt which is consolidated at 2%.  With the tax deduction, I have to think I&#8217;m better off putting my extra income into dividend stocks.  Any help?</p>
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		<title>By: Gus</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20817</link>
		<dc:creator>Gus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 16:38:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20817</guid>
		<description>Where I live (Canada), student stipends and bursary are not taxable. 

That is, when I was doing my master&#039;s and I was getting a 30,000$ stipend, none of it was paid to taxes(which are quite high here). Even though I was not making much in gross dollars, my net amount was quite high.

I finished my degree with more than 30,000$ in the bank.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Where I live (Canada), student stipends and bursary are not taxable. </p>
<p>That is, when I was doing my master&#8217;s and I was getting a 30,000$ stipend, none of it was paid to taxes(which are quite high here). Even though I was not making much in gross dollars, my net amount was quite high.</p>
<p>I finished my degree with more than 30,000$ in the bank.</p>
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		<title>By: LifeAndMyFinances</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-20813</link>
		<dc:creator>LifeAndMyFinances</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 12:33:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-20813</guid>
		<description>Because so many people say what a great investment education is, students today don&#039;t really worry about their debt while they&#039;re in college. This is not the way to do it! In order to make the college years profitable, one needs to work hard and attempt to keep those loans amount low, or at zero!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Because so many people say what a great investment education is, students today don&#8217;t really worry about their debt while they&#8217;re in college. This is not the way to do it! In order to make the college years profitable, one needs to work hard and attempt to keep those loans amount low, or at zero!</p>
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		<title>By: mayalibre</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-1968</link>
		<dc:creator>mayalibre</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 03:36:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-1968</guid>
		<description>Seth, you are my hero! I hate that students are propagandized by the educational industry. My motto has always been, a degree only tells someone what your minimum ability is, it says nothing about your maximum.

I also think that higher education in particular is a racket. Economies and prices go up and down, but tuition never does! The market plays no role in forcing schools to deliver value for cost. Notice that when you work for a living there&#039;s an exchange -- you do the work and you get paid.  But when you go to school you do all the work -AND- you give them all your money!  And are the colleges and universities accountable?  No. Students are forced to take bone-numbingly boring required classes taught by inept or abusive instructors, along with their regular courseload, as a way of &quot;proving&quot; they can obey the system.

Colleges and universities rely on us swallowing the idea that we are &quot;less than&quot; if we don&#039;t buy their goods. Jacob talks about enslavement to debt - what about enslavement to the lies that get pushed into our heads?

I am THRILLED that you are in the educational system with your ideas. The most important thing is to follow our authentic dreams, develop our true skills, and give back.  School and its hoops might do that for some people -- if you want to be a dentist (really) then it&#039;s important to learn a bunch of stuff about physiology, health, and dentistry.  But there is NOTHING WRONG with wanting to be a farmer, an air conditioning mechanic, a hairdresser, or a dog groomer.  In the old days, even royalty learned a trade -- there were kings who learned blacksmithing and cobblery.

The university thing too often sells an empty promise -- and again, is not accountable.  We don&#039;t get to sue them later for the useless degree and the huge debt we ended up with, while the regents and provosts drive around in their Audis.

Keep up the good work!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seth, you are my hero! I hate that students are propagandized by the educational industry. My motto has always been, a degree only tells someone what your minimum ability is, it says nothing about your maximum.</p>
<p>I also think that higher education in particular is a racket. Economies and prices go up and down, but tuition never does! The market plays no role in forcing schools to deliver value for cost. Notice that when you work for a living there&#8217;s an exchange &#8212; you do the work and you get paid.  But when you go to school you do all the work -AND- you give them all your money!  And are the colleges and universities accountable?  No. Students are forced to take bone-numbingly boring required classes taught by inept or abusive instructors, along with their regular courseload, as a way of &#8220;proving&#8221; they can obey the system.</p>
<p>Colleges and universities rely on us swallowing the idea that we are &#8220;less than&#8221; if we don&#8217;t buy their goods. Jacob talks about enslavement to debt &#8211; what about enslavement to the lies that get pushed into our heads?</p>
<p>I am THRILLED that you are in the educational system with your ideas. The most important thing is to follow our authentic dreams, develop our true skills, and give back.  School and its hoops might do that for some people &#8212; if you want to be a dentist (really) then it&#8217;s important to learn a bunch of stuff about physiology, health, and dentistry.  But there is NOTHING WRONG with wanting to be a farmer, an air conditioning mechanic, a hairdresser, or a dog groomer.  In the old days, even royalty learned a trade &#8212; there were kings who learned blacksmithing and cobblery.</p>
<p>The university thing too often sells an empty promise &#8212; and again, is not accountable.  We don&#8217;t get to sue them later for the useless degree and the huge debt we ended up with, while the regents and provosts drive around in their Audis.</p>
<p>Keep up the good work!</p>
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		<title>By: Seth Miller</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-1918</link>
		<dc:creator>Seth Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 01:45:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-1918</guid>
		<description>I work in higher education (recruiting right now but have done other things within it) and I think this is a subject that needs much more research and publicity.  High school students have it beaten in to their head that to make money they need a four year education (and then often are told half way through it that they probably need a masters degree).
I hope you, or someone else, is able to explore this issue more and can share it with the rest of the world.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I work in higher education (recruiting right now but have done other things within it) and I think this is a subject that needs much more research and publicity.  High school students have it beaten in to their head that to make money they need a four year education (and then often are told half way through it that they probably need a masters degree).<br />
I hope you, or someone else, is able to explore this issue more and can share it with the rest of the world.</p>
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		<title>By: Jacob</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-1917</link>
		<dc:creator>Jacob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Aug 2008 21:51:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-1917</guid>
		<description>@mjukr - If I had to do it all over again, I would do a lot more research into what a typical day looks like at various career stages and what it would take to advance and what the placement ratios are. I would also ask questions about the meritocracy/politics balance in the given &quot;industry&quot;. I would try to find out whether there was a difference between the official story and the real story. I would try to dig up dirt. Thanks to the internet, this is way easier now than in was 10 years ago I would ask both those who made it and those who did not make it to see what their explanation was. (Often those who make it think they did it because their skill and those who did not think they were unlucky). 

The hardest part would be in trying to compensate for what kind of person I would be in 10 or 20 years. For instance, in terms of experience, values and attitudes (but not personality) I am very different now compared to ten years ago.

Depending on what the student debt is going to be (I would opt for none far preferring state schools over brand name schools), I would actually not be so concerned about salary levels. If the debt is 10k, they are not so important. If it is 50k, salary is quite important. If it is 100k, salary and placement is crucial!!

Remuneratively, my PhD has definitely NOT been worth it. Figure 4 years of grad school earning $25k following by 3 years as a researcher earning $40k and currently earning $68k. If I wanted to earn money, I could have done far better as a UPS driver ($65k) or a toll booth operator ($40k). I got class mates, which I used to help out with their homework, who left with bachelors and master degrees and today they are managers and VPs in industry in charge of their own groups and earning six digits. 

On the other hand you could say that grad school gets you used to living on a low income level and it does not get you tempted to buy into mortgages, loans and nor do you get the wage necessary to develop an appreciation for shiny and expensive objects --- basically because your life (research) is interesting.
Then there&#039;s also the kind of rewards that money can&#039;t buy ... for instance, you can&#039;t pay to get your name on a journal paper as the person responsible for first discovering something.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@mjukr &#8211; If I had to do it all over again, I would do a lot more research into what a typical day looks like at various career stages and what it would take to advance and what the placement ratios are. I would also ask questions about the meritocracy/politics balance in the given &#8220;industry&#8221;. I would try to find out whether there was a difference between the official story and the real story. I would try to dig up dirt. Thanks to the internet, this is way easier now than in was 10 years ago I would ask both those who made it and those who did not make it to see what their explanation was. (Often those who make it think they did it because their skill and those who did not think they were unlucky). </p>
<p>The hardest part would be in trying to compensate for what kind of person I would be in 10 or 20 years. For instance, in terms of experience, values and attitudes (but not personality) I am very different now compared to ten years ago.</p>
<p>Depending on what the student debt is going to be (I would opt for none far preferring state schools over brand name schools), I would actually not be so concerned about salary levels. If the debt is 10k, they are not so important. If it is 50k, salary is quite important. If it is 100k, salary and placement is crucial!!</p>
<p>Remuneratively, my PhD has definitely NOT been worth it. Figure 4 years of grad school earning $25k following by 3 years as a researcher earning $40k and currently earning $68k. If I wanted to earn money, I could have done far better as a UPS driver ($65k) or a toll booth operator ($40k). I got class mates, which I used to help out with their homework, who left with bachelors and master degrees and today they are managers and VPs in industry in charge of their own groups and earning six digits. </p>
<p>On the other hand you could say that grad school gets you used to living on a low income level and it does not get you tempted to buy into mortgages, loans and nor do you get the wage necessary to develop an appreciation for shiny and expensive objects &#8212; basically because your life (research) is interesting.<br />
Then there&#8217;s also the kind of rewards that money can&#8217;t buy &#8230; for instance, you can&#8217;t pay to get your name on a journal paper as the person responsible for first discovering something.</p>
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		<title>By: mjukr</title>
		<link>http://earlyretirementextreme.com/student-loans-vs-dcf-analysis.html/comment-page-1#comment-1916</link>
		<dc:creator>mjukr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Aug 2008 20:28:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://earlyretirementextreme.com/?p=393#comment-1916</guid>
		<description>How about you, Jacob? Was your education &quot;worth it,&quot; or if you had to do it all over again, how would you approach your career differently?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How about you, Jacob? Was your education &#8220;worth it,&#8221; or if you had to do it all over again, how would you approach your career differently?</p>
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