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In reality, what happens happens. However, once an observer or an agent is introduced, the agent will try to model, mold, or change reality. Any modeling or molding of reality has known-knowns, known-unknows, unknown-knowns, and unknown-unknowns (Read more here). Known-knowns follow from certitude. Unknown-knowns follow from incompetence. Risk deals with uncertainty in the form of known-unknowns, which are usually handled statistically, and unknown-unknowns or so-called black swans. With that in mind, I proudly present The Cavalcade of Risk #49.

GENERAL

INVESTING

FINANCE (BEAR STEARNS)

INSURANCE

STARTUPS